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PFI handbacks, de-risked

Research

Developed in collaboration with A7Consult Limited, this work catalogued 720 UK PFI and PF2 projects and rebuilt four contracts from published records alone, to show how much an authority can know about its asset before handback.

White massing model of a school campus and its sports pitches, rebuilt from published records

How we approached it

A great deal more can be known about an asset before handback than most people expect, provided the gaps are shown as gaps.

Status
Research, developed in collaboration with A7Consult Limited
Purpose
Show what an authority can learn about its asset from the public record before handback
Sector
Local government, NHS trusts, devolved administrations, central government, police and fire
Scope
UK national catalogue; four contract models in England
720
PFI and PF2 projects catalogued
65
Contracts expiring in the peak year, 2036
4
Contracts rebuilt from the public record

How we went about it

Why we did the work

PFI contracts end on fixed dates, and the wave of expiries is now close.

When a PFI contract ends, the building or network, its records and whatever is left of its obligations come back to the public body. On the government's register as at 31 March 2025, 299 contracts expire between 2032 and 2037, with the peak of 65 in 2036.

How the work was built

Three pieces of work, each of them built from published sources.

A national catalogue720 PFI and PF2 projects: the 665 on HM Treasury's register at 31 March 2024 plus 55 devolved projects, with 635 project companies matched to Companies House. Its totals reconcile to the published headlines, including £49.6bn of capital value.
A process baselineEvery step the published UK guidance proposes for expiry on one chart: five time phases against five workstreams, with the hard gates marked (the condition surveys and the Expiry Health Checks at seven, five and three years) and each step referenced to its source.
Four retrospective modelsA school campus, an acute hospital, an energy-from-waste plant and a county street lighting network. The buildings became georeferenced component models on the Ordnance Survey grid; the lighting network became a rebuilt register of 107,484 assets.

For each contract there is a register of facts cited to document and page, and a list of questions to put at handback. Sources were planning files, released contracts, energy certificates, committee papers and Environment Agency LiDAR. We made no information requests of our own and used no client archives.

What the public record showed

More than most people expect. At the school campus, the energy certificates record renewable heat in one year only between 2011 and 2025. At the hospital, NHS estates returns show the wood-chip boiler's renewable fuel falling to nil from 2018/19. At the energy-from-waste plant, the released contract shows the plant transfers at expiry for no additional payment, and that the handback test is maintained condition, not remaining life. For the lighting network, the rebuilt register reproduced all 60 of the published asset counts.

Idle renewable plant is now a standard question on each model we build.

Gaps in the public record show as gaps in the model rather than as guesses.

From a national catalogue to four rebuilt contracts

720PFI and PF2 projects catalogued
635Project companies matched to Companies House
4Contracts rebuilt from the public record
Figures as stated on this page; the 635 counts project companies, not projects.

The school campus model

The school campus, rebuilt from published records. Turn it, and then colour it by evidence: the darker the part, the firmer the record behind it.

  • Stated or drawn on a published document319
  • Scaled from a published drawing97
  • Measured from LiDAR190
  • Inferred from the published record4,162
  • Assumed: no record found368

Select any part of the model to see what it is and where the information came from.

Exterior and site components shown; internal partitions and doors are left out to keep the file small. The ground is shown only as shadow. Where a part is marked as assumed, the published record holds nothing on it, and a survey or the provider's records should replace it.

What a public-record model can and cannot tell you

The method is only as complete as what has been published, and it is deliberately designed to show where that runs out.

  • Published sources only. No information requests, client archives or site access were used, so anything not in the public record is absent from the models.
  • Elements are tagged. Each element records whether it comes from drawings, a survey, LiDAR or a stated assumption, so what is assumed is visible.
  • Gaps are shown rather than filled. Where the record is silent, the model simply shows the gap.
  • A national picture at a date. The catalogue is based on HM Treasury's register at 31 March 2024 plus devolved projects, and will drift as contracts are varied, terminated or extended.
  • Not a condition survey. A model built from documents and LiDAR shows what the record says about an asset. Current physical condition still has to be established on site.

Talk to us about a contract approaching expiry

If a PFI contract is approaching expiry, we can help establish what the public record already says about the asset and what still needs to be asked.

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